Daily reported cases returned to growth on the 1st December after a few days when numbers were tracking downward again. This might be a temporary bounce back or may suggest that we’ve got a little further to go before we hit the Herd Immunity Threshold (HIT) for under 15s. It’s also possible that the last… Continue reading COVID19 update 02/12/2021
Was the reported fall in COVID cases real? And why does this matter for churches and church leaders?
You may remember that I wrote this article last week following some suggestions that we could not rely on the COVID-19 data being shared from the official website. The argument was that whilst Lateral Flow and PCR tests results were showing a drop in the number of cases, that couldn’t possibly be true. This linked… Continue reading Was the reported fall in COVID cases real? And why does this matter for churches and church leaders?
COVID risk assessment update
Here’s my regular update on the COVID data. My purpose in sharing these updates is to help churches keep a view on what is happening as they make plans and risk assessments for re-opening. The risks that we have to consider include objective risks in terms of the potential to create a super spreading context… Continue reading COVID risk assessment update
Is it time to stop publishing the COVID case data daily?
There are increasing calls, not just from politicians but from scientists too for the daily update on COVID cases to end. Some countries have already moved to weekly reporting. The argument is that reading about exponentially growing cases serves to increase anxiety among the public. It also means we don’t look at COVID in perspective.… Continue reading Is it time to stop publishing the COVID case data daily?
Coronavirus and what the data is telling us
This is one of my regular appeals for us to work harder at understanding the Pandemic and to be slower to jump to tribal political responses of either panic or complacency. This week it was announced that the UK now topped the list as the worst hit country for deaths per million. This led to… Continue reading Coronavirus and what the data is telling us
What would you rather have? The choice is between 100% of people being 95% compliant or 80% of people being 100% compliant? It looks like one of those trick questions doesn’t it? I’m meant to go for the better numbers 100% and 95% but it doesn’t take me long to realise that it is better… Continue reading Compliance
Learning the wrong (right) lessons -the importance of curiosity
One of the big problems our society has is that we have suffered the death of curiosity and that stops us from asking good questions especially when presented with data and statistics. I get frustrated when people bring out the old “lies, damned lies and statistics” routine because statistics don’t lie, you do however need… Continue reading Learning the wrong (right) lessons -the importance of curiosity