Here’s my latest update on what we are seeing regarding the data at the moment. We’ve recently seen a substantial fall in COVID cases across the UK reflecting falls in daily reported cases in both Scotland and England. However, over the weekend we saw growth in week on week cases. Here’s the chart plotting average… Continue reading COVID-19 risk management for churches update
There’s a strong possibility that the Government, on the advice of the Chief Medical Officers will decide to offer the COVID-19 vaccine to 12-15 year olds. Given that the JCVI have advised not to offer the vaccine on the basis of individual health benefit v risk calculations, this means that if you are a parent,… Continue reading Vaccinating children – a middle road between the scare stories
As promised, here’s my latest update on COVID-19 risk assessments for churches. First of all, here’s my current assessment on the 4 key risks. Remember that this is a generalised view and the situation may vary in different localities. ID Risk Description Probability 1 Risk of causing COVID infection spread Low 2 Risk of invalidating… Continue reading COVID Risk Management for churches update
I’ve been giving regular updates for those producing risk assessments for in person church gatherings in the light of COVID-19. I’ve identified the following major risks to consider. ID Risk Description Probability 1 Risk of causing COVID infection spread Low 2 Risk of invalidating insurance Low 3 Risk of breaching H&S Law Low 4 Risk… Continue reading How do people feel about COVID -and what does that mean for your church?
As we move towards September and out of the summer holidays, we want to start looking forward and thinking about the implications of what comes next in terms of COVID. The other day I mentioned that the UK figures were being confused a little by what we are seeing in England and what we are… Continue reading COVID – update and thoughts as we look towards autumn and winter
Here’s my latest update to help those of you following the situation with the pandemic in order to informing planning and risk assessment for church. The first chart shows the number of cases reported daily and an average based on a rolling seven days of data. You will see that the current trend looks very… Continue reading COVID Data update
As promised here’s an update on where I think we are in terms of COVID-19 and its impact on our return to in person church gatherings. First of all, here’s an update on the data. The first important graph is the one showing case growth. As you can see, we saw a return to positive… Continue reading Updated data and thoughts for church COVID risk assessments
You may remember that I wrote this article last week following some suggestions that we could not rely on the COVID-19 data being shared from the official website. The argument was that whilst Lateral Flow and PCR tests results were showing a drop in the number of cases, that couldn’t possibly be true. This linked… Continue reading Was the reported fall in COVID cases real? And why does this matter for churches and church leaders?
Survation famously got their 2017 General Election prediction pretty near right when all the other pollsters floundered. So in 2019, when nearly every pollster was calling it for the Conservatives as a clear win, a frequent refrain from those rooting for Jeremy Corbyn was “I’ll wait for Survation”. The hope and belief was that once… Continue reading “I’ll wait for Survation”
Over the past couple of days we’ve seen the first fall in the daily figures for new COVID cases by reported date for a long time. Now, we need to approach the data with some caution recognising that The reported date is not the same as the actual specimen date when the test was taken.… Continue reading COVID trends update for church risk management