Tag: COVID

What might 2022 have in store for us?

Here are some predictions about what the New Year might have in store for us.  I’m not saying these will all definitely happen but it might be interesting to look back at the end of the year and see how many I did get right. COVID19 I expect this year to be when the pandemic… Continue reading What might 2022 have in store for us?

Omicron -scenarios and planning for worst case/best case

I wanted to try and visualise the challenge facing decision makers over the next few days/weeks as the Government attempts to decide what to do about the Omicron variant if anything. I thought the best way to do it might be to give you a simplified model. This isn’t as high powered as the types… Continue reading Omicron -scenarios and planning for worst case/best case

How likely is the worst case scenario?

There’s been much social media discussion about this article from Fraser Nelson in the Spectator reporting a conversation he had with Prof Graham Medley the chair of SAGE. In the conversation, Medley indicates that SAGE tends to model the worst case scnarios because those are the ones that if they turn out to be true… Continue reading How likely is the worst case scenario?

Update on Omicron and Church Risk Management

This is an update on my article yesterday regarding the recently discovered COVID Variant of concern. Two cases of Omicron have now been discovered in the UK.  This has to be accounted for in in decision making as when I wrote yesterday we were working on the assumption that the variant was not yet present… Continue reading Update on Omicron and Church Risk Management

I’m not convinced we need a public inquiry on COVID

We’re expecting a full public inquiry to follow the COVID-19 pandemic and that is generally seen to be a good thing. Some people want an inquiry because they believe that there are people culpable either through intent or at least wilful neglect and they should be held to account. Others are looking for lessons learnt… Continue reading I’m not convinced we need a public inquiry on COVID

What about post COVID newcomers?

One of the major concerns for Church leaders recently has been what we do about those people who don’t seem to be returning to in person church?  Within that number are those who are still very anxious about coming to church services but still very much believe in the L ord. Some will be able… Continue reading What about post COVID newcomers?

COVID data tracking for church risk assessments

I hope that your first Sunday after the lifting of restrictions was encouraging and that you had more freedom to gather for worship inline with your context and tradition.  I’ve been arguing for a cautious but optimistic approach to in person re-gathering following the lifting of lockdown and I’ve argued that we need to be… Continue reading COVID data tracking for church risk assessments

COVID forecasting – Rear view mirrors and uncertainty

What kind of COVID numbers can we expect to be seeing over the next few weeks?  Knowing what we might expect to see is crucial for those involved in making the big decisions because  case numbers impact on hospital admissions and that in turn has an impact on mortality figures.  Those involved in leading churches… Continue reading COVID forecasting – Rear view mirrors and uncertainty